forecast

Time series forecasting using ARIMA, ETS, STLM, TBATS, and neural network models.

EmergingOpen SourceLow lock-in

Pricing

Free tier

Flat rate

Adoption

Stable

License

Open Source

Data freshness

Unverified

Overview

What is forecast?

The forecast package in R provides methods for time series forecasting including automatic ARIMA fitting, exponential smoothing state space model (ETS), STL decomposition, TBATS modeling, and neural networks. It is essential for data scientists and analysts who need to predict future values based on historical data.

Key differentiator

forecast stands out for its comprehensive suite of time series forecasting methods, including advanced models like TBATS and neural networks, making it ideal for complex seasonal patterns.

Capability profile

Capability Radar

Ease of StartEcosystemValueMaturityFlexibilityScale Ready

Honest assessment

Strengths & Weaknesses

↑ Strengths

Automatic ARIMA model fittingmedium

Exponential smoothing state space models (ETS)medium

STL decomposition for seasonal and trend analysismedium

TBATS modeling for complex seasonality patternsmedium

Neural network forecasting methodsmedium

↓ Weaknesses

Limited support for advanced time series modelshigh

The package primarily focuses on ARIMA, ETS, STL decomposition, TBATS and neural networks, but lacks support for more sophisticated models like VAR or state-space models beyond ETS.

Performance issues with large datasetsmedium

The package can be slow when handling very large time series datasets due to the computational intensity of its methods, particularly in automatic model selection processes.

Documentation is not comprehensive or beginner-friendlyhigh

While there are examples and a vignette, the documentation lacks detailed explanations for each function's parameters and output interpretation, making it difficult for new users to fully utilize the package.

Limited integration with other R packages or external systemsmedium

The forecast package does not have built-in support for integrating with databases, cloud storage services, or other popular data manipulation and visualization libraries in R beyond base functionalities.

Fit analysis

Who is it for?

✓ Best for

Researchers needing to forecast time series with complex seasonality patterns using TBATS models

Developers who require automatic ARIMA model fitting for quick and accurate predictions

Teams working on financial forecasting projects that benefit from STL decomposition

✕ Not a fit for

Projects requiring real-time data processing as it is primarily a batch-processing tool

Applications needing direct integration with cloud services, as it operates locally

Cost structure

Pricing

Free Tier

Available

Open source — free to use

Starts at

$0

Model

Flat rate

Enterprise

None

Performance benchmarks

How Fast Is It?

Ecosystem

Relationships

Next step

Get Started with forecast

Step-by-step setup guide with code examples and common gotchas.

View Setup Guide →